Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -105 OAK -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +17 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -0.1 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.5 (+49.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -0.9 (+16.1) | 127.9 (+39.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -1.1 (+15.9) | 129.5 (+37.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -1.1 (+15.9) | 125.7 (+41.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -0.7 (+16.3) | 127.1 (+39.9) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | CLE 91 – 78 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | OAK 97 – 74 CLE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OAK 91 – 86 CLE |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OAK 83 – 71 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#286) | -2.6 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#227) | -0.29 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#201) | -0.08 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#247) | 0.505 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.2% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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