I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
74 – 71
FINAL Neutral Conference Barbasol Horizon League
Cleveland State Vikings
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum (Neutral) · March 11, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread OAK -3.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money OAK -189 / CLE +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total OAK win
Actual OAK +3 145 Won
Massey OAK -4.2 (-1.2) — —
Massey Totals — 148.0 (-3.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 68% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OAK -3.1 (-0.1) 144.2 (+0.8) 65% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OAK -2.8 (+0.2) 143.0 (+2.0) 59% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OAK -3.6 (-0.6) 143.7 (+1.3) 64% ✓
Baseline ML OAK -3.3 (-0.3) 144.2 (+0.8) 65% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2026 CLE 91 – 78 OAK
Jan 10, 2026 OAK 97 – 74 CLE
Feb 23, 2025 OAK 91 – 86 CLE
Dec 20, 2024 CLE 92 – 75 OAK
Feb 3, 2024 OAK 83 – 71 CLE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OAK CLE
Overall 24-12 21-15
Conference 15-5 11-9
Home 10-3 14-3
Away 9-7 6-10
Neutral 5-2 1-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.4 74.7
Avg Pts Against 73.2 73.7
Massey 2.6 (#132) -1.6 (#190)
Bradley-Terry 0.71 (#116) -0.01 (#176)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.57 (#130) -0.19 (#186)
RPI 0.559 (#71) 0.518 (#142)
Shooting & Four Factors OAK CLE
FG% 45.2% 44.7%
3PT% 35.2% 33.9%
REB / G 35.4 35.0
OREB / G 10.2 12.9
AST / TO 1.25 1.26
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 50.1%
TOV% 16.4% 14.9%
ORB% 30.1% 34.3%
FT Rate 23.0% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 51.7%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 19.7%
DRB% 71.6% 64.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.5% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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