Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -150 CLE +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +5 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -1.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+46.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -0.3 (+4.7) | 136.4 (+40.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -1.1 (+3.9) | 134.5 (+42.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -1.0 (+4.0) | 136.3 (+40.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -0.3 (+4.7) | 137.1 (+39.9) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | CLE 91 – 78 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | OAK 97 – 74 CLE |
| Dec 20, 2024 | CLE 92 – 75 OAK |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OAK 83 – 71 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#206) | -0.7 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#204) | 0.32 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#199) | 0.40 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#177) | 0.517 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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