Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 170.5 Under |
| Money | CLE +285 OAK -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +13 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -10.3 (+23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -7.2 (+20.2) | 163.8 (+5.2) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -8.1 (+21.1) | 163.6 (+5.4) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -8.1 (+21.1) | 164.6 (+4.4) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -8.8 (+21.8) | 164.5 (+4.5) | 20% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | OAK 97 – 74 CLE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OAK 91 – 86 CLE |
| Dec 20, 2024 | CLE 92 – 75 OAK |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OAK 83 – 71 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 88.6 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#311) | 3.1 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#267) | 0.79 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#272) | 0.63 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#280) | 0.566 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 61.2% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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