Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -188 CLE +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -7.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -6.3 (+5.7) | 151.0 (+3.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -3.9 (+8.1) | 149.7 (+4.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -5.8 (+6.2) | 148.8 (+5.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -6.2 (+5.8) | 150.5 (+3.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | CLE 91 – 78 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | OAK 97 – 74 CLE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OAK 91 – 86 CLE |
| Dec 20, 2024 | CLE 92 – 75 OAK |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 71 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#134) | -1.8 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#117) | -0.10 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#135) | -0.35 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#83) | 0.503 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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