Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | CREI +120 SJU -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +17 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -1.3 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -0.8 (-17.8) | 149.6 (+13.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -2.0 (-19.0) | 149.2 (+13.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -1.6 (-18.6) | 145.3 (+17.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -1.4 (-18.4) | 146.4 (+16.6) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SJU 81 – 52 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SJU 82 – 66 CREI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SJU 79 – 73 CREI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | CREI 57 – 56 SJU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SJU 80 – 66 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 30-7 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 18-2 |
| Home | 10-6 | 18-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#42) | 17.1 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#45) | 1.77 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#45) | 2.66 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#41) | 0.592 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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