Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -1000 CREI +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +29 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -12.9 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -12.8 (+16.2) | 153.5 (-20.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -11.9 (+17.1) | 150.6 (-17.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -12.3 (+16.7) | 152.4 (-19.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -13.0 (+16.0) | 152.7 (-19.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | SJU 90 – 73 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SJU 82 – 66 CREI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SJU 79 – 73 CREI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | CREI 57 – 56 SJU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SJU 80 – 66 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 9-11 |
| Home | 18-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 9-1 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#22) | 8.5 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#21) | 1.44 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.83 (#22) | 1.88 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#21) | 0.543 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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