Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -110 SJU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +1 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -2.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-42.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -2.4 (+3.4) | 151.0 (-38.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -0.8 (+1.8) | 152.9 (-39.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -1.1 (+2.1) | 149.5 (-36.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -1.0 (+2.0) | 151.1 (-38.1) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SJU 81 – 52 CREI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SJU 90 – 73 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SJU 82 – 66 CREI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SJU 79 – 73 CREI |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SJU 80 – 66 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 31-5 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 18-2 |
| Home | 15-2 | 19-0 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#65) | 15.3 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#72) | 2.47 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#68) | 3.74 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#48) | 0.629 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 39.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.2% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.