Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SJU +110 CREI -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +14 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -2.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -0.3 (+13.7) | 152.1 (-6.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -0.7 (+14.7) | 149.8 (-3.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -0.9 (+14.9) | 151.0 (-5.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -0.9 (+14.9) | 152.4 (-6.4) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SJU 81 – 52 CREI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SJU 90 – 73 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SJU 82 – 66 CREI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SJU 79 – 73 CREI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | CREI 57 – 56 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#43) | 17.4 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#75) | 2.43 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#68) | 3.24 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#113) | 0.604 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 11.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 12.5% |
Game Analysis
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