Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SJU -285 CREI +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -6.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -7.3 (-1.3) | 140.8 (+11.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -7.6 (-1.6) | 140.5 (+11.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -6.9 (-0.9) | 138.4 (+13.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -6.3 (-0.3) | 138.6 (+13.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SJU 81 – 52 CREI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SJU 90 – 73 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SJU 82 – 66 CREI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | CREI 57 – 56 SJU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SJU 80 – 66 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-5 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 15-5 |
| Home | 19-0 | 15-2 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#20) | 14.1 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#21) | 2.36 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.18 (#12) | 2.88 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#14) | 0.600 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 12.5% |
Game Analysis
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