Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SJU -300 CREI +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +16 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -8.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -8.8 (+7.2) | 146.5 (+1.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -8.4 (+7.6) | 145.7 (+2.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -8.9 (+7.1) | 146.3 (+1.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -8.2 (+7.8) | 144.0 (+4.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SJU 81 – 52 CREI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SJU 90 – 73 CREI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SJU 79 – 73 CREI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | CREI 57 – 56 SJU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SJU 80 – 66 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-5 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 15-5 |
| Home | 19-0 | 15-2 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#15) | 13.3 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#10) | 2.28 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.71 (#7) | 2.71 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#9) | 0.587 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 11.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 12.4% |
Game Analysis
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