Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -125 MONT +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -0.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.3 (-36.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -0.4 (+1.4) | 157.1 (-26.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -2.6 (+3.6) | 155.4 (-24.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -1.9 (+2.9) | 154.9 (-23.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -2.3 (+3.3) | 156.9 (-25.9) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EWU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MONT 83 – 72 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONT 92 – 81 EWU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | EWU 89 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 4, 2024 | EWU 78 – 65 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#243) | -1.2 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.53 (#338) | 0.22 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#326) | 0.13 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#339) | 0.509 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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