Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | EWU +100 MONT -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +11 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -1.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -1.0 (-10.0) | 150.5 (+22.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -0.8 (-11.8) | 148.8 (+24.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -0.3 (-10.7) | 149.5 (+23.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -0.4 (-10.6) | 150.8 (+22.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EWU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EWU 66 – 65 MONT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MONT 83 – 72 EWU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | EWU 89 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 4, 2024 | EWU 78 – 65 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-14 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#243) | -1.8 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#289) | 0.49 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#275) | 0.61 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#301) | 0.548 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.3% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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