Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -258 EWU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +8 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -8.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -7.7 (-15.7) | 149.4 (+6.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -8.2 (-16.2) | 149.5 (+6.5) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -7.8 (-15.8) | 147.3 (+8.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -7.7 (-15.7) | 148.4 (+7.6) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | EWU 66 – 65 MONT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MONT 83 – 72 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONT 92 – 81 EWU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | EWU 89 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 4, 2024 | EWU 78 – 65 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#148) | -4.4 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#168) | -1.65 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#155) | -1.82 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#159) | 0.403 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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