Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -550 EWU +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -8.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -10.0 (+1.0) | 148.0 (+7.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -7.9 (+3.1) | 146.1 (+8.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -9.7 (+1.3) | 147.3 (+7.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -8.9 (+2.1) | 147.5 (+7.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EWU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EWU 66 – 65 MONT |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONT 92 – 81 EWU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | EWU 89 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 4, 2024 | EWU 78 – 65 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#177) | -6.7 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#110) | -1.52 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#123) | -1.72 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#59) | 0.420 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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