Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -225 MONT +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +10 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -4.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -2.8 (+7.2) | 153.3 (+14.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -2.9 (+7.1) | 150.5 (+17.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -2.4 (+7.6) | 153.1 (+14.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -2.4 (+7.6) | 154.9 (+13.1) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EWU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EWU 66 – 65 MONT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MONT 83 – 72 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONT 92 – 81 EWU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | EWU 78 – 65 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 10-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#141) | 0.7 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#116) | 0.52 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#127) | 0.38 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#109) | 0.540 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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