Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
Big Sky Conference · Dahlberg Arena · February 4, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MONT -1.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money MONT -110 / EWU +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total MONT win
Actual EWU +13 143 Lost
Massey MONT -2.8 (-15.8) — —
Massey Totals — 152.3 (-9.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 66% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MONT -2.3 (-15.3) 145.2 (-2.2) 63% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MONT -1.1 (-14.1) 142.6 (+0.4) 58% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML MONT -2.3 (-15.3) 145.9 (-2.9) 64% ✗
Baseline ML MONT -1.9 (-14.9) 147.7 (-4.7) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 EWU 82 – 74 MONT
Jan 10, 2026 EWU 66 – 65 MONT
Mar 4, 2025 MONT 83 – 72 EWU
Jan 3, 2025 MONT 92 – 81 EWU
Mar 1, 2024 EWU 89 – 79 MONT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MONT EWU
Overall 24-12 21-11
Conference 12-6 15-3
Home 13-3 11-1
Away 8-7 10-9
Neutral 3-2 0-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 79.5
Avg Pts Against 72.5 77.6
Massey 1.3 (#146) 2.0 (#136)
Bradley-Terry 0.69 (#121) 0.73 (#115)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.62 (#134) 0.63 (#133)
RPI 0.537 (#111) 0.538 (#110)
Shooting & Four Factors MONT EWU
FG% 47.2% 48.1%
3PT% 35.6% 37.6%
REB / G 33.4 32.8
OREB / G 8.1 7.8
AST / TO 1.38 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.6% 56.3%
TOV% 14.9% 19.9%
ORB% 25.2% 25.5%
FT Rate 21.3% 26.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 14.2% 16.9%
DRB% 74.9% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 25.4%

Game Analysis

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