Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -110 EWU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -2.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -1.1 (-14.1) | 142.6 (+0.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -2.3 (-15.3) | 145.9 (-2.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -1.9 (-14.9) | 147.7 (-4.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -2.3 (-15.3) | 145.2 (-2.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EWU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EWU 66 – 65 MONT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MONT 83 – 72 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONT 92 – 81 EWU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | EWU 89 – 79 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-1 |
| Away | 8-7 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#146) | 2.0 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#121) | 0.73 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#134) | 0.63 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#111) | 0.538 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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