Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -360 MONM +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -12.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -10.7 (-7.7) | 138.8 (-7.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -9.6 (-6.6) | 140.2 (-9.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -10.7 (-7.7) | 139.5 (-8.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -10.5 (-7.5) | 139.4 (-8.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 75 – 69 MONM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HOF 73 – 57 MONM |
| Mar 9, 2025 | MONM 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 21, 2025 | MONM 68 – 62 HOF |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MONM 81 – 78 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#100) | -2.1 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#66) | -0.58 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#78) | -0.69 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#31) | 0.471 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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