Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | MONM +114 HOF -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +16 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -2.1 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -1.0 (-15.0) | 142.7 (-12.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -2.7 (-13.3) | 143.1 (-13.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -0.9 (-15.1) | 140.7 (-10.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -1.7 (-14.3) | 142.1 (-12.1) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 75 – 69 MONM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HOF 67 – 64 MONM |
| Mar 9, 2025 | MONM 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 21, 2025 | MONM 68 – 62 HOF |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MONM 81 – 78 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#195) | 3.1 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#225) | 0.43 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#222) | 0.65 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#235) | 0.548 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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