Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | MONM +135 HOF -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +5 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -3.4 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -2.4 (+7.4) | 131.9 (-6.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -2.0 (+7.0) | 131.3 (-6.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -2.8 (+7.8) | 128.6 (-3.6) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -3.0 (+8.0) | 129.8 (-4.8) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 75 – 69 MONM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HOF 73 – 57 MONM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HOF 67 – 64 MONM |
| Feb 21, 2025 | MONM 68 – 62 HOF |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MONM 81 – 78 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-14 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#266) | -2.8 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#243) | -0.68 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#251) | -0.75 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#239) | 0.487 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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