Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -192 MONM +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -6.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -5.1 (+0.9) | 134.6 (+9.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -5.3 (+0.7) | 135.6 (+8.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.6 (+0.4) | 134.6 (+9.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -5.2 (+0.8) | 134.0 (+10.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HOF 73 – 57 MONM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HOF 67 – 64 MONM |
| Mar 9, 2025 | MONM 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 21, 2025 | MONM 68 – 62 HOF |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MONM 81 – 78 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#93) | -0.6 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#101) | -0.02 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#97) | -0.18 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#62) | 0.510 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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