Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -320 MONM +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +6 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -6.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -5.4 (-11.4) | 133.9 (-3.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -4.4 (-10.4) | 132.4 (-2.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -4.6 (-10.6) | 132.9 (-2.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -3.8 (-9.8) | 135.7 (-5.7) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 75 – 69 MONM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HOF 73 – 57 MONM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HOF 67 – 64 MONM |
| Mar 9, 2025 | MONM 65 – 60 HOF |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MONM 81 – 78 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#219) | -6.9 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#222) | -1.13 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#218) | -1.42 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#200) | 0.456 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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