Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | MONM +175 HOF -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -0.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -0.8 (+2.2) | 142.3 (+16.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -0.5 (+3.5) | 142.9 (+16.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -1.4 (+1.6) | 140.3 (+18.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -0.6 (+2.4) | 141.3 (+17.7) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 75 – 69 MONM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HOF 73 – 57 MONM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HOF 67 – 64 MONM |
| Mar 9, 2025 | MONM 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 21, 2025 | MONM 68 – 62 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#189) | 1.9 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#145) | 0.37 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#145) | 0.72 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#151) | 0.518 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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