Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | ILST -700 UIC +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | ILST -14.6 (-18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -13.5 (-17.5) | 137.7 (-15.7) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -11.6 (-15.6) | 139.6 (-17.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -13.7 (-17.7) | 136.7 (-14.7) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -12.8 (-16.8) | 136.5 (-14.5) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UIC 83 – 56 ILST |
| Feb 6, 2025 | ILST 81 – 79 UIC |
| Dec 29, 2024 | UIC 73 – 67 ILST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UIC 61 – 56 ILST |
| Dec 1, 2023 | ILST 69 – 64 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#66) | -1.4 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#91) | -1.27 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#102) | -1.16 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#93) | 0.443 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 38.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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