Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UIC -225 ILST +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -20.9 (-25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -14.5 (-19.5) | 133.6 (-0.6) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -10.6 (-15.6) | 134.5 (-1.5) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -14.3 (-19.3) | 129.8 (+3.2) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -15.3 (-20.3) | 129.1 (+3.9) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UIC 83 – 56 ILST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UIC 63 – 59 ILST |
| Feb 6, 2025 | ILST 81 – 79 UIC |
| Dec 29, 2024 | UIC 73 – 67 ILST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UIC 61 – 56 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 9-11 |
| Home | 6-9 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#33) | -3.8 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#33) | -0.68 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.21 (#21) | -0.01 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.683 (#12) | 0.408 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.3% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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