Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UIC -165 ILST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -3.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -3.8 (-5.8) | 152.7 (+7.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -3.1 (-5.1) | 149.1 (+10.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -3.2 (-5.2) | 151.3 (+8.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -3.5 (-5.5) | 153.5 (+6.5) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UIC 83 – 56 ILST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UIC 63 – 59 ILST |
| Dec 29, 2024 | UIC 73 – 67 ILST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UIC 61 – 56 ILST |
| Dec 1, 2023 | ILST 69 – 64 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#119) | 2.1 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#108) | 0.46 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#112) | 0.51 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#97) | 0.524 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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