Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UIC -105 ILST -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +27 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -2.3 (+29.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -0.2 (+27.2) | 136.2 (+2.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -1.5 (+28.5) | 135.6 (+3.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -1.9 (+28.9) | 136.8 (+2.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -1.4 (+28.4) | 138.0 (+1.0) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | UIC 63 – 59 ILST |
| Feb 6, 2025 | ILST 81 – 79 UIC |
| Dec 29, 2024 | UIC 73 – 67 ILST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UIC 61 – 56 ILST |
| Dec 1, 2023 | ILST 69 – 64 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#130) | 7.8 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#156) | 0.45 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#149) | 0.64 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#155) | 0.540 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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