Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | ILST -185 UIC +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +6 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | ILST -7.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -6.1 (-12.1) | 147.0 (-7.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -3.8 (-9.8) | 145.0 (-5.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -5.4 (-11.4) | 149.2 (-9.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -5.3 (-11.3) | 150.1 (-10.1) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UIC 83 – 56 ILST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UIC 63 – 59 ILST |
| Feb 6, 2025 | ILST 81 – 79 UIC |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UIC 61 – 56 ILST |
| Dec 1, 2023 | ILST 69 – 64 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#139) | -1.3 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#137) | 0.33 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#133) | 0.19 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#142) | 0.522 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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