Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -1000 VMI +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +21 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -17.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-32.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -12.3 (+8.7) | 144.5 (-27.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -14.5 (+6.5) | 147.7 (-30.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -12.3 (+8.7) | 144.5 (-27.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -13.0 (+8.0) | 145.2 (-28.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FUR 90 – 72 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FUR 75 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VMI 91 – 82 FUR |
| Feb 15, 2024 | FUR 75 – 62 VMI |
| Jan 17, 2024 | FUR 100 – 60 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 1-17 |
| Home | 11-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-5 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#173) | -14.0 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#141) | -2.24 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#160) | -2.85 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#114) | 0.409 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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