Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -8000 VMI +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -20.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -18.3 (-5.3) | 160.0 (-23.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -15.4 (-2.4) | 157.3 (-20.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -15.5 (-2.5) | 156.4 (-19.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -16.3 (-3.3) | 157.6 (-20.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FUR 90 – 72 VMI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | FUR 69 – 48 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FUR 75 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VMI 91 – 82 FUR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | FUR 100 – 60 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 1-17 |
| Home | 12-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 3-10 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 84.9 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#147) | -16.3 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#156) | -3.42 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#160) | -3.91 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#150) | 0.372 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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