Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +800 FUR -2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +40 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -11.3 (-28.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -13.2 (-26.8) | 161.1 (-1.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -14.0 (-26.0) | 163.5 (-3.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -12.2 (-27.8) | 157.5 (+2.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -12.3 (-27.7) | 158.8 (+1.2) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FUR 90 – 72 VMI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | FUR 69 – 48 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FUR 75 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VMI 91 – 82 FUR |
| Feb 15, 2024 | FUR 75 – 62 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 10-8 |
| Home | 4-10 | 12-3 |
| Away | 0-15 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.9 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -15.5 (#355) | -0.2 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.21 (#362) | -0.27 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.49 (#361) | -0.18 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.361 (#356) | 0.479 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.54 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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