Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -1200 VMI +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -12.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -11.1 (-7.1) | 140.8 (+5.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -11.7 (-7.7) | 142.9 (+3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -10.3 (-6.3) | 140.5 (+5.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -10.4 (-6.4) | 141.3 (+4.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FUR 90 – 72 VMI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | FUR 69 – 48 VMI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VMI 91 – 82 FUR |
| Feb 15, 2024 | FUR 75 – 62 VMI |
| Jan 17, 2024 | FUR 100 – 60 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#154) | -8.7 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#114) | -1.19 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#136) | -1.22 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#97) | 0.451 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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