Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | VMI +575 FUR -850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +18 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -13.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -11.3 (-6.7) | 139.9 (+22.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -12.0 (-6.0) | 141.2 (+20.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -11.5 (-6.5) | 139.4 (+22.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -11.8 (-6.2) | 141.3 (+20.7) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | FUR 69 – 48 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FUR 75 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VMI 91 – 82 FUR |
| Feb 15, 2024 | FUR 75 – 62 VMI |
| Jan 17, 2024 | FUR 100 – 60 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L17 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -17.8 (#358) | -1.7 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#355) | -0.34 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.58 (#354) | -0.44 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.370 (#358) | 0.503 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 61.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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