Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | VMI +425 FUR -650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +9 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -6.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+33.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -7.0 (+16.0) | 139.5 (+33.5) | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -7.2 (+16.2) | 145.8 (+27.2) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -5.9 (+14.9) | 139.7 (+33.3) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -6.2 (+15.2) | 141.8 (+31.2) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FUR 90 – 72 VMI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | FUR 69 – 48 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FUR 75 – 71 VMI |
| Feb 15, 2024 | FUR 75 – 62 VMI |
| Jan 17, 2024 | FUR 100 – 60 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#311) | 1.3 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#324) | 1.21 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#307) | 0.96 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#319) | 0.558 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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