Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | PITT -125 SYR +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +11 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | PITT -2.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -1.5 (-12.5) | 137.4 (+17.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -2.6 (-13.6) | 136.6 (+18.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -1.6 (-12.6) | 136.2 (+18.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -0.8 (-11.8) | 137.9 (+17.1) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PITT 71 – 69 SYR |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PITT 80 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PITT 77 – 73 SYR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | SYR 69 – 58 PITT |
| Dec 30, 2023 | SYR 81 – 73 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#96) | 8.3 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#138) | 1.33 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#140) | 2.12 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#140) | 0.532 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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