Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
| Money | SYR -135 PITT +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -2.1 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -0.3 (+7.7) | 143.8 (+10.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -1.5 (+9.5) | 143.1 (+10.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -1.6 (+6.4) | 142.2 (+11.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -1.1 (+6.9) | 141.2 (+12.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PITT 71 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SYR 83 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PITT 80 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PITT 77 – 73 SYR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | SYR 69 – 58 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#83) | 12.7 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#38) | 1.13 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#41) | 1.65 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#18) | 0.556 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 42.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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