Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | PITT -800 SYR +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -13.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -11.4 (-0.4) | 149.4 (-0.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -11.9 (-0.9) | 149.5 (-0.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -11.8 (-0.8) | 149.2 (-0.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -12.6 (-1.6) | 149.4 (-0.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PITT 71 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SYR 83 – 72 PITT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PITT 77 – 73 SYR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | SYR 69 – 58 PITT |
| Dec 30, 2023 | SYR 81 – 73 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#43) | 1.9 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#56) | 0.26 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#61) | 0.49 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#56) | 0.512 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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