Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -265 PITT +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SYR -5.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -4.2 (-6.2) | 140.3 (-0.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -5.8 (-7.8) | 141.4 (-1.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -5.0 (-7.0) | 142.9 (-2.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -4.8 (-6.8) | 141.3 (-1.3) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | SYR 83 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PITT 80 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PITT 77 – 73 SYR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | SYR 69 – 58 PITT |
| Dec 30, 2023 | SYR 81 – 73 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Away | 2-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#72) | 5.9 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#78) | 0.40 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#75) | 0.72 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#108) | 0.497 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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