Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SYR +300 PITT -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +4 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | PITT -9.9 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -7.3 (+3.3) | 150.0 (+0.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -7.6 (+3.6) | 150.8 (-0.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -7.7 (+3.7) | 149.7 (+0.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -8.5 (+4.5) | 151.2 (-1.2) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PITT 71 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SYR 83 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PITT 80 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | SYR 69 – 58 PITT |
| Dec 30, 2023 | SYR 81 – 73 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#138) | 14.8 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#133) | 2.18 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#121) | 2.69 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#122) | 0.599 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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