Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | PITT -300 SYR +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +11 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | PITT -8.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -5.1 (-16.1) | 143.5 (-16.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -6.2 (-17.2) | 142.6 (-15.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -4.4 (-15.4) | 139.5 (-12.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -4.5 (-15.5) | 140.9 (-13.9) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PITT 71 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SYR 83 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PITT 80 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PITT 77 – 73 SYR |
| Dec 30, 2023 | SYR 81 – 73 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#51) | 5.8 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#122) | 1.88 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#114) | 2.28 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#143) | 0.624 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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