Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | IU -198 NEB +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +6 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -4.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -2.9 (-8.9) | 144.4 (+15.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -4.1 (-10.1) | 144.8 (+15.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -2.7 (-8.7) | 140.2 (+19.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IU -3.2 (-9.2) | 139.5 (+20.5) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | NEB 85 – 68 IU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | NEB 93 – 66 IU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 IU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | NEB 86 – 70 IU |
| Dec 8, 2022 | IU 81 – 65 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 16-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#21) | 16.4 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#57) | 5.42 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#61) | 7.27 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#51) | 0.683 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 1.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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