Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -178 IU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +16 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -9.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -7.3 (+8.7) | 148.5 (+7.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -7.4 (+8.6) | 145.5 (+10.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -7.5 (+8.5) | 146.3 (+9.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -7.4 (+8.6) | 146.7 (+9.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NEB 83 – 77 IU |
| Dec 14, 2024 | NEB 85 – 68 IU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | NEB 93 – 66 IU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 IU |
| Dec 8, 2022 | IU 81 – 65 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 18-1 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#65) | 3.0 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#47) | 1.89 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#58) | 2.09 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#42) | 0.587 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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