Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | IU -138 NEB +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +15 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -2.4 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -1.8 (-13.2) | 148.7 (+6.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -2.2 (-12.8) | 145.8 (+9.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -2.0 (-13.0) | 146.4 (+8.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -2.5 (-12.5) | 147.8 (+7.2) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NEB 83 – 77 IU |
| Dec 14, 2024 | NEB 85 – 68 IU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | NEB 93 – 66 IU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | NEB 86 – 70 IU |
| Dec 8, 2022 | IU 81 – 65 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 18-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#105) | 10.6 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#76) | 1.91 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#75) | 2.44 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#87) | 0.573 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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