Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | IU -900 NEB +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +16 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | IU -15.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -10.7 (+5.3) | 136.2 (+9.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -12.3 (+3.7) | 134.6 (+11.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -11.1 (+4.9) | 136.2 (+9.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -11.2 (+4.8) | 137.3 (+8.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NEB 83 – 77 IU |
| Dec 14, 2024 | NEB 85 – 68 IU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | NEB 93 – 66 IU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 IU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | NEB 86 – 70 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#6) | 6.2 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#31) | 1.31 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#40) | 2.33 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#75) | 0.560 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 9.5% |
Game Analysis
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