Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -185 IU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +17 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -1.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -3.0 (+14.0) | 150.2 (+2.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -4.4 (+12.6) | 148.5 (+4.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -3.1 (+13.9) | 149.9 (+3.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -3.6 (+13.4) | 148.6 (+4.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NEB 83 – 77 IU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | NEB 93 – 66 IU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 IU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | NEB 86 – 70 IU |
| Dec 8, 2022 | IU 81 – 65 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#71) | 11.1 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#45) | 1.79 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#50) | 2.44 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#44) | 0.616 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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