I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Big Ten Conference · Pinnacle Bank Arena · December 14, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread NEB -3.5 Home covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money NEB -185 / IU +155
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual NEB +17 153 Won
Massey NEB -1.3 (+15.7) — —
Massey Totals — 150.4 (+2.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 75% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 83% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NEB -3.6 (+13.4) 148.6 (+4.4) 66% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NEB -3.0 (+14.0) 150.2 (+2.8) 73% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NEB -4.4 (+12.6) 148.5 (+4.5) 64% ✓
Baseline ML NEB -3.1 (+13.9) 149.9 (+3.1) 63% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 10, 2026 NEB 83 – 77 IU
Mar 16, 2024 NEB 93 – 66 IU
Feb 22, 2024 NEB 85 – 70 IU
Jan 4, 2024 NEB 86 – 70 IU
Dec 8, 2022 IU 81 – 65 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB IU
Overall 21-14 19-13
Conference 7-13 10-10
Home 10-6 14-4
Away 5-7 4-6
Neutral 6-1 1-3
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak W4 L1
Avg Pts For 76.0 74.7
Avg Pts Against 72.6 72.0
Massey 8.0 (#71) 11.1 (#48)
Bradley-Terry 2.09 (#45) 1.79 (#55)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.06 (#50) 2.44 (#61)
RPI 0.600 (#44) 0.616 (#34)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB IU
FG% 44.7% 50.9%
3PT% 29.8% 35.9%
REB / G 37.1 38.1
OREB / G 10.2 10.0
AST / TO 1.24 1.25
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 56.2%
TOV% 15.5% 19.6%
ORB% 28.7% 32.9%
FT Rate 33.1% 28.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 46.5%
Opp TOV% 22.2% 17.1%
DRB% 71.9% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 20.6% 17.0%

Game Analysis

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