Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -225 IU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +27 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -5.9 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -4.6 (+22.4) | 140.6 (+18.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -4.8 (+22.2) | 142.9 (+16.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -5.2 (+21.8) | 139.9 (+19.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -4.9 (+22.1) | 139.5 (+19.5) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NEB 83 – 77 IU |
| Dec 14, 2024 | NEB 85 – 68 IU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 IU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | NEB 86 – 70 IU |
| Dec 8, 2022 | IU 81 – 65 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 18-1 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#42) | 6.1 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#37) | 1.62 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#29) | 1.88 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#41) | 0.558 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.