Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 175.5 Over |
| Money | COR -485 DART +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +11 | 193 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -7.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 184.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -5.2 (-16.2) | 159.7 (+33.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -5.4 (-16.4) | 160.8 (+32.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -3.7 (-14.7) | 161.5 (+31.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -3.8 (-14.8) | 161.9 (+31.1) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | COR 111 – 90 DART |
| Mar 15, 2025 | COR 87 – 71 DART |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DART 88 – 49 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 76 – 64 DART |
| Feb 17, 2024 | COR 89 – 80 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Home | 7-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.6 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#161) | -3.6 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#210) | -1.01 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#218) | -1.40 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#146) | 0.461 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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