Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
| Money | DART +170 COR -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +21 | 201 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -2.4 (-18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.7 (+26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -1.4 (-19.6) | 157.5 (+43.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -2.6 (-18.4) | 160.7 (+40.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -1.8 (-19.2) | 159.0 (+42.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -2.0 (-19.0) | 157.6 (+43.4) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | DART 102 – 91 COR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | COR 87 – 71 DART |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DART 88 – 49 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 76 – 64 DART |
| Feb 17, 2024 | COR 89 – 80 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 8-6 |
| Home | 5-8 | 7-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 85.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 84.6 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#249) | 0.1 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#258) | -0.29 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#264) | -0.44 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#239) | 0.519 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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