Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | COR -240 DART +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +16 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | COR -4.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -2.5 (+13.5) | 155.2 (+2.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -4.8 (+11.2) | 158.2 (-0.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -3.3 (+12.7) | 154.5 (+3.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -2.5 (+13.5) | 154.0 (+4.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | COR 111 – 90 DART |
| Jan 10, 2026 | DART 102 – 91 COR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DART 88 – 49 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 76 – 64 DART |
| Feb 17, 2024 | COR 89 – 80 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#128) | -1.9 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#153) | -0.51 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#153) | -0.65 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#121) | 0.483 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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