Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | COR -750 DART +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | COR -12.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.0 (-25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -13.4 (-1.4) | 159.8 (-19.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -9.6 (+2.4) | 157.3 (-17.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -10.4 (+1.6) | 157.8 (-17.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -11.0 (+1.0) | 159.4 (-19.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | COR 111 – 90 DART |
| Jan 10, 2026 | DART 102 – 91 COR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | COR 87 – 71 DART |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DART 88 – 49 COR |
| Feb 17, 2024 | COR 89 – 80 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#122) | -6.6 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#140) | -0.94 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#135) | -1.48 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#117) | 0.465 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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